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解读4月CPI:食品价格普遍回落,猪周期见顶向下趋势明确

放大字体  缩小字体 发布日期:2020-05-13  来源:澎湃新闻  浏览次数:86232
内容摘要:根据国家统计局5月12日公布的数据,4月CPI环比下降0.9%,降幅比上月收窄0.3个百分点;同比上涨3.3%,重回3时代,涨幅比上月回落1.

GENJUGUOJIATONGJIJU5YUE12RIGONGBUDESHUJU,4YUECPIHUANBIXIAJIANG0.9%,JIANGFUBISHANGYUESHOUZHAI0.3GEBAIFENDIAN;TONGBISHANGZHANG3.3%,ZHONGHUI“3SHIDAI”,ZHANGFUBISHANGYUEHUILUO1.0GEBAIFENDIAN。KOUCHUSHIPINHENENGYUANJIAGEDEHEXINCPITONGBISHANGZHANG1.1%,ZHANGFUBISHANGYUEHUILUO0.1GEBAIFENDIAN。

4月食品价格普遍回落,通胀压力继续缓解。交通银行金融研究中心首席研究员唐建伟认为,国内疫情改善以来物流交通逐渐恢复,食品供应改善促进价格下降。猪肉价格是影响食品价格走势的主要因素,“当猪肉价格对CPI拉动作用降到2%以内,CPI同比涨幅将很快回到3%以内。”

ZHESHANGZHENGQUANSHOUXIJINGJIXUEJIALICHAOYUJI,ZHUZHOUQITONGBIJIANDINGJIANGCHENGWEITUIDONGSHIPINCPIQUSHIHUILUODEZUIZHONGYAOYINSU,FEISHIPINCPIBUDAKENENGCHUXIANMINGXIANDEBUCHANGXINGFANDAN,QIWEICHINIANNEICPIQUSHIXIAXINGDEPANDUANBUBIAN。

SHIPINJIAGEPUBIANHUILUO,TONGZHANGYALIJIXUHUANJIE

123彩票4YUEFEN,GUONEIXINGUANFEIYANYIQINGFANGKONGXIANGHAODETAISHIJINYIBUGONGGU,SHENGCHANSHENGHUOZHIXUJIAKUAIHUIFU。SHIPINJIAGEPUBIANHUILUO,TONGZHANGYALIJIXUHUANJIE。

123彩票CPIHUANBIXIAJIANG0.9%。QIZHONG,SHIPINJIAGEXIAJIANG3.0%,JIANGFUSHOUZHAI0.8GEBAIFENDIAN,YINGXIANGCPIXIAJIANGYUE0.70GEBAIFENDIAN,SHIDAIDONGCPIJIXUXIAJIANGDEZHUYAOYINSU。

SHIPINZHONG,TIANQIZHUANNUAN,XIANCAIGONGYINGLIANGZENGJIA,JIAGEXIAJIANG8.0%,JIANGFUSHOUZHAI4.2GEBAIFENDIAN;SHENGZHUCHANNENGJIAKUAIHUIFU,ZHUROUGONGJICHIXUZENGJIA,JIAGEJIXUXIAJIANG7.6%,JIANGFUKUODA0.7GEBAIFENDIAN;XIANGUOHEJIDANGONGYINGCHONGZU,JIAGEJUNXIAJIANG2.2%。

123彩票FEISHIPINJIAGEXIAJIANG0.2%,JIANGFUSHOUZHAI0.2GEBAIFENDIAN,YINGXIANGCPIXIAJIANGYUE0.17GEBAIFENDIAN。FEISHIPINZHONG,SHOUGUOJIYUANYOUJIAGEBODONGYINGXIANG,QIYOU、CHAIYOUHEYEHUASHIYOUQIJIAGEFENBIEXIAJIANG7.5%、8.2%HE3.7%;SUIZHEFUGONGFUCHANJIAKUAI,CHUXINGXUQIUZENGJIA,FEIJIPIAOJIAGESHANGZHANG5.6%。

CONGTONGBIKAN,4YUECPISHANGZHANG3.3%。QIZHONG,SHIPINJIAGESHANGZHANG14.8%,ZHANGFUHUILUO3.5GEBAIFENDIAN,YINGXIANGCPISHANGZHANGYUE2.98GEBAIFENDIAN。

SHIPINZHONG,ZHUROUJIAGESHANGZHANG96.9%,ZHANGFUHUILUO19.5GEBAIFENDIAN;NIUROU、YANGROU、JIROUHEYAROUJIAGESHANGZHANG8.2%—20.5%,ZHANGFUJUNYOUSUOHUILUO;JIDANJIAGEYOUSHANGYUESHANGZHANG2.1%ZHUANWEIXIAJIANG3.4%;XIANGUOHEXIANCAIJIAGEFENBIEXIAJIANG10.5%HE3.7%,JIANGFUFENBIEKUODA4.4HE3.6GEBAIFENDIAN。

123彩票FEISHIPINJIAGESHANGZHANG0.4%,ZHANGFUBISHANGYUEHUILUO0.3GEBAIFENDIAN,YINGXIANGCPISHANGZHANGYUE0.31GEBAIFENDIAN。FEISHIPINZHONG,YILIAOBAOJIAN、JIAOYUWENHUAHEYULEJIAGEFENBIESHANGZHANG2.2%HE2.0%,JIAOTONGHETONGXIN、YIZHE、JUZHUJIAGEFENBIEXIAJIANG4.9%、0.4%HE0.3%。

BENLUNZHUZHOUQIJIANDINGXIANGXIAQUSHIYIJIAOMINGQUE

123彩票JIAOTONGYINXINGJINRONGYANJIUZHONGXINSHOUXIYANJIUYUANTANGJIANWEIRENWEI,GUONEIYIQINGGAISHANYILAIWULIUJIAOTONGZHUJIANHUIFU,SHIPINGONGYINGGAISHANCUJINJIAGEXIAJIANG。QIWENHUISHENGCUJINSHUCAISHENGCHANZENGJIA,XIANCAIJIAGEXIANZHUXIAJIANG。

ERZHUROUJIAGESHIYINGXIANGSHIPINJIAGEZOUSHIDEZHUYAOYINSU,MUQIANYINGXIANGCPITONGBISHANGZHANGYUE2.36GEBAIFENDIAN。TANGJIANWEIBIAOSHI,SUIZHESHENGZHUCUNLANLIANGZHUJIANHUISHENGDAILAIZHUROUGONGJIZENGJIA,ZHUROUJIAGEZHANGFUJIANGXIANZHUSHOUZHAI。“DANGZHUROUJIAGEDUICPILADONGZUOYONGJIANGDAO2%YINEI,CPITONGBIZHANGFUJIANGHENKUAIHUIDAO3%YINEI。”

农业农村123彩票部数据显示,2020年第18周(即2020年4月27日-4月30日),16省份瘦肉型白条猪肉出厂价格总指数的周平均值为每公斤42.52元,环比跌1.2%,同比涨108.7%,较上周收窄4.9个百分点。

由于大体重肥猪销售难度仍较大,加之月底规模养殖场为完成月度计划而集中出栏,造成供应短时增多,致使生猪价格连续下跌;五一国际劳动节对终端消费市场提振有限,猪肉价格小幅下跌。

ZHESHANGZHENGQUANSHOUXIJINGJIXUEJIALICHAOYUJI,YOUYU2019NIAN3-11YUEFENZHUROUJIAGEJISHUZHUYUESHANGXINGJIAOKUAI,CONGTONGBIJIAODU,BENLUNZHUZHOUQIJIANDINGXIANGXIAQUSHIYIBIJIAOMINGQUE。ZHUZHOUQITONGBIJIANDINGJIANGCHENGWEITUIDONGSHIPINCPIQUSHIHUILUODEZUIZHONGYAOYINSU。

SUIZHEKUONEIXUCUOSHILUODI,FEISHIPINJIAGEZHANGFUXIAJIANGQUSHIYOUWANGZHUJIANHUANJIE。DANTANGJIANWEIBIAOSHI,YIQINGDAOZHILVYOU、CANYIN、ZHUSU、SHENGHUOFUWUDENGXIAOFEIXUQIUPIANRUOZHUANGKUANGDEHUIFUSHIGEHUANMANGUOCHENG,ZHENGTIXUQIUPIANRUO,ZAIJIASHANGGONGYEPINCHUCHANGJIAGEXIAJIANG,FEISHIPINJIAGEKENENGRENGJIANGCHUYUDIWEI。TONGZHANGYALIYIBUCUNZAI,KENENGHUIYOUTONGSUOFENGXIAN。

“JUMINXIAOFEIYIYUANYOUWANGYANXUXIUFU,DANSHANGHUDUICANYIN、FUZHUANGDENGXIANGMUDAFUZHANGJIADEKENENGXINGDI,YINERFEISHIPINCPIBUDAKENENGCHUXIANMINGXIANDEBUCHANGXINGFANDAN。”LICHAOYUJI,SHIPINHEFEISHIPINHUANBIDOUJIANGZHUJIANXIANGLISHIJIJIEXINGJUNZHIFANGXIANGXIUFU,WEICHINIANNEICPIQUSHIXIAXINGDEPANDUANBUBIAN,CPIDEQUSHIXIAXINGYOUWANGZENGQIANGZHAISHIDUOTOUYUQI。

“WANGQIANKANCPIJIXUXIAXING,XIABANNIANDAGAILVZHUANFU。”DANGQIANHAIWAIYIQINGRENGZAIYANXU,DUIJINGJIDECHONGJIYEZAIMANYAN,ZHONGTAIHONGGUANFENXISHILIANGZHONGHUA、WUJIALUBIAOSHI,ERJIDUHAIWAIJINGJIHUOJINYIBUFUZENGZHANG,WAIXUCHIXUZOURUOYEHUITUOLEIWOGUOJINGJIZENGZHANG。MUQIANBUFENLINGYUDEJINGJISHUJUHUINUAN,GENGDUOTIXIANDESHIZHIQIANJIYADESHENGCHANHEXIAOFEIXUQIUDEJIZHONGSHIFANG,KECHIXUXINGYOUDAIGUANCHA,HUOBIZHENGCEDAGAILVJINYIBUFANGSONG,ZHAISHIDUANQIDIAOZHENG,BUGAINIUSHIQUSHI。

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