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2月份玉米价格行情走势回顾及3月玉米行情展望

放大字体  缩小字体 发布日期:2014-03-05  浏览次数:849373
内容摘要:未来玉米价格行情走势更大程度受政策及需求的影响。2014年继续实行临储收购政策,玉米下跌空间或有限。总体而言,后市玉米处于偏空格局,但下跌空间有限。 一、2月份玉米价格行情走势回顾 2月份连玉米主力1405合约主要呈振荡偏弱走势,受下游需求疲惫拖累。

  未来玉米价格123彩票行情走势更大程度受政策及需求的影响。2014年继续实行临储收购政策,玉米下跌空间或有限。总体而言,后市玉米处于偏空格局,但下跌空间有限。

2014年2月玉米价格行情回顾及3月展望

  YI、2YUEFENYUMIJIAGEXINGQINGZOUSHIHUIGU

  2YUEFENLIANYUMIZHULI1405HEYUEZHUYAOCHENGZHENDANGPIANRUOZOUSHI,SHOUXIAYOUXUQIUPIBEITUOLEI。JIEZHI2YUE26RI,DANGYUEKAIPANJIA2366YUAN/DUN,ZUIGAOJIA2368YUAN/DUN,ZUIDIJIA2332YUAN/DUN,SHOUPANJIA2343YUAN/DUN,YUEKXIANSHANGJIAO1YUEDIE18YUAN/DUN。HEYUESHANG,CHENGJIAOLIANG67WANSHOU,JIAOSHANGYUEJIANSHAO22WANSHOU,CHICANG39.7WANSHOU,JIAOSHANGYUEZENGJIA11.4WANSHOU,SHICHANGCHENGPIANKONGGEJU。

123彩票   ER、JIBENMIANFENXI

123彩票   (YI)SILIAOQIYEBUKUXIAOJI,NANBEIGANGKOUKUCUNGAOQI

  NANBEIFANGGANGKOUYUMIJIAGEWENDING,JIERIGUOHOUXINGQINGZANWEICHUXIANMINGXIANBIANHUA,MUQIANBEIFANGGANGKOURIDAOHUOLIANGYUE2-3WANDUN,ERNANFANGGANGKOURIZOUHUOLIANGZAI3.5WANDUNZUOYOU,JIAOQIANQIYOUSUOXIAJIANG,LINGWAIZUIXINXIAOXIBANLUNYUNFEIJIXUXIADIAO。KUCUNFANGMIAN:YOUYUMUQIANNANBEIDEGAOKUCUNYALI,XIAYOUXIAOFEICHIXUDIMI,DUANSHIJIANNEIJIAGENANYISHANGZHANG,HOUQIYINGGUANZHUYOUZHIYUMIZHANBIQINGKUANG,RUGUOYOUZHIYUMISHULIANGYOUXIAN,JIAGEXIADIEKONGJIANJIANGYOUXIAN。

123彩票   (ER)YUMIJINKOULIRUNFENGHOU,JIZHANGUONEIXUQIUKONGJIAN

  全球玉米丰产,供给充足。国内外玉米价差较大,进口利润丰厚,促进进口。2014年1月份玉米进口650984吨,同比增长256833吨,涨幅较大,高进口量冲击国内玉米需求空间。另外2013年8月,阿根廷农业部部长NorbertoYauhar对外表示,中国已批准进口首批阿根廷转基因玉米,这批玉米已经发货,将用做喂养猪和鸡的饲料。2013在11月份,批准进口巴西玉米。这将扩大国外玉米进口来源,增加进口。在国际玉米价格低廉,以及玉米进口来源扩大的基础上预计今年玉米进口持续处于高位,挤占国内需求空间。

  (SAN)YANGZHILIRUNCHIXUKUISUN,DUANQISILIAOXUQIUYOUXIAN

  农业部最新发布的数据显示,1月份生猪存栏环比下降4.2%,同比下降2.2%,能繁母猪存栏环比下降0.6%,同比下降2.6%,生猪存栏自2013年3月份以来首次出现环比下降。而从猪粮比价来看:截至2月21日猪粮比数据5.52:1,连续六周低于盈亏平衡点6:1;而从养殖利润来看:截至2月21日生猪养殖利润-152.50元/只,连续六周处于亏损状态。当前生猪产能依然偏高,加上未来几个月是消费淡季,生猪价格上涨动能不足。

  CONGSILIAOYUANLIANGLAIKAN,YUMIHEXIAOMAISHINENGLIANGSILIAODEZHUYAOYUANLIANG,CONGLIANGZHEMUQIANJIACHAFANGMIANLAIKAN,YUMIXIANGJIAOYUXIAOMAIRENGJUYOUJIAGEYOUSHI。YINER,GUONEISILIAOXIAOFEIZENGZHANGYUQIYOUZHUYUTIZHENYUMIXIAOFEIYUQI,JINERDUIYUMIJIAGEXINGCHENGZHICHENG。

  LINGWAI,2YUEZHONGXUNGUOJIAFAGAIWEIXIAFATONGZHI,ZAIZHULIANGBILIANXU5ZHOUDIYUPINGHENGDIANDEQINGKUANGXIA,GUOJIAJIANGGENJUSHICHANGJIAGEBIANHUASHISHIQIDONGZHUROUSHOUCHU。SUIRANCIZHENGCEDUIYUDUANQINEISHENGZHUSHICHANGXINGQINGDEYINGXIANGXIANGDUIYOUXIAN,DANDANGGEDIFANGLUXUZHANKAISHOUCHUHUODONGZHIHOU,ZHUJIAHUOJIANGCHENGXIANHUANMANHUISHENGDEQUSHI,ERZHENGCEXIAOYINGYEJIANGZHUJIANXIANXIAN。

123彩票   ZONGTIERYAN,DUANQINEIZHUROUJIAGEQUEFADAFUSHANGZHANGDONGLI,DANXIADIEKONGJIANYIYOUXIAN。YINCISILIAOXUQIUYUJIWEICHIWENDING,NANYIDAFUZENGJIA。

  (SI)CHANPINJIAGERUOSHIYUNXING,SHENJIAGONGXUQIUNANYOUQISE

  JINJINIANLAIGUONEIYUMISHENJIAGONGXINGYECHIXUCHUYUDIMIZHUANGTAI,JIUJING、DIANFENSHENJIAGONGXINGYEKUISUNYICHENGCHANGTAI。JINQIYUMIJIAGEZOURUO,YUMISHENJIAGONGQIYEDEYUANLIAOCHENGBENYALIJIANQING,DANSHIXIAYOUXUQIURENGRANBUZU,XIAYOUQIYEJINGYINGRENGCHUKUISUNZHUANGTAI。ERJIUJING、DIANFENXINGYE,JINQIKAIGONGLVBAOCHIZAIJIAOGAOSHUIPING,GONGJICHONGYU,ZAIJIASHANGXUQIUDIMI,CHIXUSHIYAJIUJING、DIANFENJIAGE,SHENJIAGONGCHANPINJIAGERUOSHIYUNXING。SHENJIAGONGQIYEKUISUNJIADA,ERNIANCHUSHENJIAGONGCHANPINYOUCHUYUXUQIUDANJI,YUJIHOUSHISHENJIAGONGXINGYEKAIGONGLVHUOYOUXIAJIANG,DUIYUMIXUQIUJIANGYOUSUOJIANSHAO。

  (WU)DALIANGYUMISHOUGOURUKU,GUOCHUKUCUNTUPO8000WANDUN

  JIEZHI2014NIAN2YUE20RI,DONGBEILINCHUSHOUGOUZONGLIANG4296WANDUN,QUNIANTONGQI528WANDUN。2013NIANDONGBEILINCHUYUMIZHENGTIRUKULIANGJIN3100WANDUN,2012NIANDONGBEILINCHURUKULIANGZAI1000WANDUNZUOYOU,JINSANNIANLAILINCHUYUMIKUCUNYIJINGTUPO8000WANDUN,DADAOLISHIGAOZHIZHUANGTAI。ERJINNIANLINCHUYUMISHOUGOUHUODONGJIANGYANXUZHI4YUEDI,3、4YUEFENJIANGSHICHUNJIEHOUCHANQUYUMIJIZHONGSHANGLIANGJIEDUAN,LINCHURUKULIANGJIANGJIXUSHANGSHENG,ZHILINCHUSHOUGOUHUODONGJIESHU,SHICHANGYUJISHOUCHULIANGHUOCHAO5000WANDUN。DALIANGDELINCHUYUMIRUKUSUIRANHUANJIELEYUMIDUANQIGONGJIYALI,DANPANGDADEGUOCHUYUMIKUCUNLIANGZENGJIALEHOUSHIPAIMAIDEFENGXIAN,CHAOGUO8000WANDUNDEGUOCHUKUCUNSHIYAYUMISHICHANG,HOUSHIYUMIJIAGENANYIDAFUSHANGZHANG。

123彩票   SAN、3YUEFENZHANWANG

123彩票   JIBENMIAN:ZAIGONGJIFANGMIAN:2013-2014NIANDU,GUONEIYUMIFENGCHAN,CHANLIANGPOJILU,ZAIJIASHANGGUOJIYUMIJIAGEDAFUDIYUGUONEIYUMIJIAGE,JINKOULIRUNFENGHOUCUJINJINKOU,GUONEIZONGTIGONGJICHONGZU。ZAIXUQIUFANGMIAN:QINLIUGANYIQINGCHIXUFAJIAO,ZHUROUJIAGEDIMI,JIQINYANGZHIYELIRUNCHIXUSHOUSUO,YUMISILIAOXUQIUBUZU;SHENJIAGONGFANGMIAN,ZAIGUOJIAZHENGCEYIJIZHENGTIJINGJIHUANJINGBUJIADEYINGXIANGXIA,ZHENGTIXUQIUBUZU,ZAIJIASHANGNIANCHUCHUYUXUQIUDANJI,SHENJIAGONGQIYECHIXUKUISUN,YUMISHENJIAGONGXUQIUYOUXIAN。ZAIKUCUNFANGMIAN:JIEZHIDAO2YUE20RI,DONGBEILINCHUSHOUGOUZONGLIANG4296WANDUN,ZAIJIASHANG2012、2013SHOUCHUDE4000WANDUN,LINCHUYUMIKUCUNYIJINGTUPO8000WANDUN,PANGDADEGUOCHUKUCUNSHIYAYUMISHICHANG。LINGWAINANBEIGANGKOUKUCUNYECHUYULISHIGAOWEI,GANGKOUZOUHUOSUDUJIAOMAN,YAZHIYUMISHICHANG。DAN2014NIANJIXUSHIXINGLINCHUSHOUGOUZHENGCE,YUMIXIADIEKONGJIANHUOYOUXIAN。ZONGTIERYAN,HOUSHIYUMICHUYUPIANKONGGEJU,DANXIADIEKONGJIANYOUXIAN。

  JISHUMIAN:YUMIZHULI1405HEYUECHENGYA2370YUAN/DUN,ZAI12YUE6RI、1YUE13RI、2YUE7RIDEFANDANZHONGDOUWEINENGYOUXIAOTUPO2370YUAN/DUN,CHENGYAHUILUO。ZAI2YUE10RI,LIANYUMI1405HEYUEDAFUXIADIE,ZHIHOUZHUYAOZAI2340-2350YUAN/DUNQUJIANDIAOZHENG,CHENGYAJUNXIANXITONG,QIESHANGFANG2350YUAN/DUNYISHIJIAYALI,YUJIHOUSHIRENGYOUZOUDI。

  CAOZUOSHANG,ZAI2345YUAN/DUNFUJINZUOKONGLIANYUMI1405HEYUE,RUOJIXUHUIDIAOKEZAI2360YUAN/DUNJIACANGDUODAN,ZHISUN2380YUAN/DUN,MUBIAO2300YUAN/DUN。

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